Palavras-chave
social and economic development of the Russian Federation, strategic forecasting, strategic planning
Como Citar
R. Khairullina, E. ., V. Lushchik, I. ., E. Lampsi, O. ., V. Romanov, I. ., A. Burovkina, L. ., A. Krupnov, Y. ., & Yu. Butyrin, A. . (2021). SPECIFIC FEATURES OF REGULATING THE FОRECASTING SYSTEM FOR THE SOCIO-ECONОMIC DEVELОPMENT IN RUSSIA. Revista Gênero E Interdisciplinaridade, 2(01). https://doi.org/10.51249/gei.v2i01.136
Resumo
The system of forecasting and planning the economy is being formed today in the Russian Federation. The outcome of this process is expected to be the formation of a system of priorities and goals of the socio-economic development of the country, the development and implementation of national projects and government programs. The paper gives an analysis of the theoretical and methodological aspects concerning the regulatiоn of the forecasting system of the socio-economic development in Russia. The principles of regulating the forecasting of the socio-economic development in the Russian Federation have been studied and proposals have been developed to improve the process under study. The conclusions have been drawn that forecasting is one of the important functiоns of public administration. Forecasting contributes to the identification of possible future problems of socio-economic development, substantiation and development of preventive measures of socio-economic policy, which ensures early structural, technological, institutional changes, and also gives an opportunity to adapt effectively to the specific conditions of the future situation. Forecasting also makes it possible to obtain the expected assessments of the results of the implementation of various economic policy options. Thus, forecasting allows one to pick a pоlicy option objectively that provides the desired trajectory of socio-economic development.
Referências
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Shepelevich, S.S. Forecasting the basic conditions of socio-economic development. Theory and Practice of Modern Science, 10(52), 229-232.
Simchenko, E.E. Methodological problems of macroeconomic forecasting in transitive socio-economic systems. URL: http://edoc.bseu.by:8080/bitstream/edoc/4628/2/Simch-(2019). enko_E_E_Metodologicheskie_problemy_makroekonomicheskogo_prognozirovaniya_v_tranzitivnyh_socialno_ekonomicheskih_sistemah_ocr.pdf (date of access 26.07.2020) (2001).
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Stegny, V.N. Forecasting the model of socio-economic development of the country, territory. Bulletin of the Perm National Research Polytechnic University. Socio-economic sciences, 1, 8-22. (2018).
Takhumova, O.V., Larionova, A.A., Zaitseva, N.A., Povorina, E.V., Vikhrova, N.O., Bykasova, E.V., & Zhukov, V.A. Usage of regions' innovative activity assessment results for the National Cluster Policy development. Dilemas contemporaneos-educacion politica y valores, 6(SI), 54, Article number 54. (2019).
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Tverdokhlebova, E.A. Socio-economic forecasting as the basis for managing the development of the territory. Young Scientist, 7(54), 249-255. URL: https://moluch.ru/archive/54/7399/ (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2013).
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Yudintseva L.A. Financial drivers of economic growth in the Russian Federation. PhD Thesis. Saint Petersburg State University: Saint Petersburg. (2019)
Zaitsev, V.G. Forecasting and planning of socio-economic development of the region: PhD Thesis. Kislovodsk: Institute of Economics and Law. (2012).
Azarnova, T.V., Treshchevsky, Yu.I. & Papin, S.N. Forecasting the parameters of the socio-economic development of the region using the apparatus of neural networks (on the example of the vrp of the Voronezh region). Modern economy: problems and solutions, 3(123), 8-25. (2020).
Budget Code of the Russian Federation. (1998). Budget Code of July 31, 1998 N 145-FZ. URL: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_19702 (date accessed: 25.06.2020).
Chepurnova N.M., Markov K.V. the topical issues of administrative-law regulation of state strategic planning and prediction in today''s Russia. The Topical Issues of Public Law, 5 (17): 12-24. (2013)
Consultant Plus. Russian legislation daily Issue from 30.11.2018. URL: https://subscribe.ru/archive/law.russia.review.consdailyrus/201811/30150219.html/ (date of access 26.07.2020). (2018).
Decree of the President of the Russian Federation. Decree of May 7, 2018 No. 204 "On national goals and strategic objectives of the development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2024". URL: http://static.kremlin.ru/media/acts/files/0001201805070038.pdf (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2018).
Dementyev, D.V. The budgetary system of the Russian Federation (for bachelors). Tutorial. Moscow: KnoRus.
Federal Law. (2014). Federal Law of June 28, 2014 N 172-FL "On strategic planning in the Russian Federation". URL: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_164841/ (date accessed: 28.05.2020). (2016).
Federal State Statistics Service. Official statistics. URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru (date accessed: 20.06.2020). (2020).
Forecast of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2036. (2020). URL: https://www.economy.gov.ru/material/file/a5f3add5deab665b344b47a8786-dc902/prognoz2036.pdf (date of access 26.07.2020)
Forecast of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the period up to 2024. (2020). URL: https://legalacts.ru/doc/prognoz-sotsialno-ekonomicheskogo-razvitija-rossiiskoi-federatsii-na-period-do-2024/ (date accessed: 02.07.2020).
Frenkel A.A., Sergienko Y.V., Rayskaya N.N., Matveeva O.N., Lobzova A.F., Roschina L.S. Long stagnation. Russian economy in 2014-2015. Economic Strategies, 16: 2 (118): 68-79. (2014).
Gritsyuk, T.V., Kotilko, V.V. & Lexin I.V. The budgetary system of the Russian Federation. Moscow: Finance and Statistics. (2013).
Gubeydullin, E.F. Forecasting socio-economic development of the Russian Federation. Edited by I.A. Murzina, V.N. Retinskaya. Management of socio-economic systems Collection of articles of the All-Russian scientific-practical conference. Penza, June 27-28, pp. 11-14. (2019).
Idrisov, H.M. Islamic banking products: distinctive features and role in strengthening the investment focus of banking. Financial Economics, 2, 499-502. (2020).
Karasev, A.B. Breakthrough innovation program of the President of the Russian Federation V.V. Putin "On long-term state economic policy" (Strategy). Decree of the President of the Russian Federation No. 596 of 05/07/12: article. Moscow: Government. URL: http: //www.gosbook.ru/node/60008 (2012).
Kutuev, R.A., Mashkin, N.A., Yevgrafova, O.G., Morozov, A.V., Zakharova, A.N., & Parkhaev, V.T. Methodological Guidance of Educational Monitoring Effectiveness. Modern Journal of Language Teaching Methods, 7(3), 405-41. (2017).
Masalimova, A.R., Shagieva, R.V., Kosarenko, N.N., Latysheva, Z.I., Khairullina, E.R. & Vyatkina, I.V. The Russian experience of subject-subject interaction between university teachers and students on the basis of drama in education. Modern Journal of Language Teaching Methods, 7(2), 177-185. (2017).
Mironova, M.D., Zaitseva, N.A., Larionova, A.A., Akhpolova, V.B., Glagoleva, L.E., Belozerova, J.M. Features of Innovative Personnel Management of Service Companies in the Period of Implementation of Organizational Changes. Eurasian journal of analytical chemistry. 12(5B), 793-802. (2017).
Nosov, A.L. Forecasting socio-economic development as a tool for ensuring national economic security. Innovative Development of the Economy, 3(45), 306-311. (2018).
Odzhagverdiev, E.N. & Lozhechko, A.S. Legal bases of planning and forecasting in the Russian Federation. E-Scio, 6(9), 1-4. URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/pravovye-osnovy-planirovaniya-i-prognozirovaniya-v-rossiyskoy-federatsii (date accessed: 28.06.2020). (2017).
Order of the Ministry of Economic. Order of the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia of 13.03.2019 N 124 (as amended of 13.04.2020). "On approval of the recommended form for the main indicators submitted by the executive authorities of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation to the Ministry of Economic Development of Russia for the development of a forecast of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for the medium term, and methodological recommendations for the development, adjustment, monitoring of medium-term forecasts of the socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation". URL: http://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_320582 (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2019).
Palash, S.V. Analysis of the formation and functioning of strategic planning of industry development in Russia. St.Petersburg State Polytechnical University Journal. Economics, 11(2), 38-52. (2018).
Reznichenko, S.M., Takhumova, O.V., Zaitseva, N.A., Larionova, A.A., Dashkova, E.V., Zotikova, O.N., & Filatov, V.V. Methodological aspects of assessing factors affecting the sustainable development of the region. Modern journal of language teaching methods, 8(11), 70-80. (2018).
Rudenko, L.G., Larionova, A.A., Zaitseva, N.A., Kostryukova, O.N., Bykasova, E.V., Garifullina, R.Z., Safin, F.M. Conceptual model of training personnel for small business services in the digital economy. Modern journal of language teaching methods, 8(5), 283-296. (2018).
Russian Economy in 2012. Trends and Outlooks (Issue 34). Moscow: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy. URL: https://www.iep.ru/files/text/trends/2012/book_eng.pdf (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2013).
Russian Economy in 2013. Trends and Outlooks (Issue 35). Moscow: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy. URL: https://www.iep.ru/files/RePEc/gai/gbooks/RussianEconomyIn2013issue35_en.pdf (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2014).
Senchagov, V.K. Economic security of Russia. General course. Moscow: BINOM. (2012).
Shepelevich, S.S. Forecasting the basic conditions of socio-economic development. Theory and Practice of Modern Science, 10(52), 229-232.
Simchenko, E.E. Methodological problems of macroeconomic forecasting in transitive socio-economic systems. URL: http://edoc.bseu.by:8080/bitstream/edoc/4628/2/Simch-(2019). enko_E_E_Metodologicheskie_problemy_makroekonomicheskogo_prognozirovaniya_v_tranzitivnyh_socialno_ekonomicheskih_sistemah_ocr.pdf (date of access 26.07.2020) (2001).
Skrylnikova, N.A. & Lozhnikova, A.V. Activities in the field of synthesis of long-term scientific, technological and socio-economic forecasting in Russia in 2011–2014. Tomsk: TSU. URL: https://e.lanbook.com/book/71583 (date accessed: 12.07.2020). (2015).
Stegny, V.N. Forecasting the model of socio-economic development of the country, territory. Bulletin of the Perm National Research Polytechnic University. Socio-economic sciences, 1, 8-22. (2018).
Takhumova, O.V., Larionova, A.A., Zaitseva, N.A., Povorina, E.V., Vikhrova, N.O., Bykasova, E.V., & Zhukov, V.A. Usage of regions' innovative activity assessment results for the National Cluster Policy development. Dilemas contemporaneos-educacion politica y valores, 6(SI), 54, Article number 54. (2019).
Tkachev, S.A. & Golm, D.O. Regional economics and management. Syktyvkar: GOU IN KRAGSiU. (2013).
Tsydypova, T.B. Risk management at the stage of forecasting the socio-economic development of the territory. Russian Entrepreneurship, 14(236), 26-34. (2013).
Tverdokhlebova, E.A. Socio-economic forecasting as the basis for managing the development of the territory. Young Scientist, 7(54), 249-255. URL: https://moluch.ru/archive/54/7399/ (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2013).
Vaschenko A.N. Business. Education. Right. Bulletin of the Volgograd Institute of Business. Volgograd: Volgograd Institute of Business, 1 (18). URL: https://biblioclub.ru/index.php?page=book&id=225103 (date of access: 23.05.2020). (2012)
Yudintseva L.A. Financial drivers of economic growth in the Russian Federation. PhD Thesis. Saint Petersburg State University: Saint Petersburg. (2019)
Zaitsev, V.G. Forecasting and planning of socio-economic development of the region: PhD Thesis. Kislovodsk: Institute of Economics and Law. (2012).
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